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Pakistan earned a much-needed victory over Canada in New York to keep their T20 World Cup 2024 dreams alive. However, their path to the Super 8 stage is now under threat from the weather.

The upcoming matches at Central Broward Park Stadium in Lauderhill, Florida, are forecasted to face heavy rainfall, putting several games at risk. The forecast predicts heavy rain in Lauderhill over the next few days, where four crucial matches are scheduled.

Earlier today, Sri Lanka’s must-win match against Nepal was washed out, dashing their hopes of advancing to the next round. Pakistan could face a similar fate if the rain continues to disrupt the tournament.

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One key match at risk is the USA vs. Ireland game on June 14, which has a 91% chance of rain. Pakistan desperately needs Ireland to win this match to keep their T20 World Cup hopes alive.

If it gets washed out, the USA will earn a point, securing their qualification and eliminating Pakistan. The weather could play a cruel hand in deciding who advances.

Pakistan’s Path to Qualification

Pakistan’s match against Ireland on June 16 also faces a 47% chance of rain. With two losses in three matches, Pakistan still has a chance to qualify for the Super 8 if the following results occur:

  • June 12: USA vs. India — India win
  • June 14: USA vs. Ireland — Ireland win
  • June 15: Canada vs. India — India win
  • June 16: Ireland vs. Pakistan — Pakistan win

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If these results come through, Pakistan and the USA will tie with four points each. This scenario would make Net Run Rate (NRR) the deciding factor. Pakistan will need a massive win against Ireland and must hope the USA suffers significant losses to India and Ireland.

Net Run Rate is crucial in these tight scenarios. Pakistan must not only win but win big. Every run and every wicket will count as they aim to boost their NRR and outpace the USA. The weather, though, remains an unpredictable adversary.

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